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 Assunto da Mensagem: Computador da IBM participa no Jeopardy
MensagemEnviado: 14 fev 2011, 22:40 
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O super computador Watson da IBM vai participar hoje à noite numa edição especial do famoso concurso Americano Jeopardy, contra dois concorrentes humanos.


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 Assunto da Mensagem: Re: Computador da IBM participa no Jeopardy
MensagemEnviado: 15 fev 2011, 15:06 
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Registado: 15 fev 2011, 15:03
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Parece que a coisa está ela-por-ela. Notícia de hoje da CNN abaixo

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An IBM supercomputer named Watson finished one round of the TV show "Jeopardy!" on Monday night tied with one of his human competitors and $3,000 ahead of the other.
The man vs. computer face-off won't be complete, however, until the final rounds of the extended trivia game show are aired on Tuesday and Wednesday.
IBM trumpets Watson, which has been in development for years and has the processing power of 2,800 "powerful computers," as a major advancement in machines' efforts to understand human language. The computer receives clues through digital texts and then buzzes in against the two other "Jeopardy!" contestants like any other player would. It juggles dozens of lines of reasoning at once and tries to arrive at a smart answer.
After getting off to a scary-good start, Watson did have a few stumbles.
In one instance, it repeated an answer that another contestant, Ken Jennings, who won 74 "Jeopardy!" episodes in a row, had already tried.
"What is 1920s?" Watson said, sounding like a digitized Matthew Broderick.
"No," game-show host Alex Trebek replied. "Ken said that."
On many other clues, however, Watson was spot-on. After losing the first clue to Brad Rutter, another "Jeopardy!" champion, Watson jumped in on the second question.
Clue: "Iron fitting on the hoof of a horse or a card-dealing box in a casino."
Watson: "What is shoe?"
Correct.
At the start of the show, Trebek went to some lengths to explain the origins of Watson -- IBM approached the show about the idea three years ago -- and how the computer actually works. That's partly because what you see on the "Jeopardy!" stage is somewhat misleading. It looks as if two humans are bookending a simple computer monitor, which appears to be just about as smart as they are. In reality, as Trebek explained, the bulk of Watson's computer power was stored in another building at an IBM lab in New York, where the show is being held for this special three-day competition.
After introducing Watson, to studio applause, this is how Trebek explained it:
"Just as I expected," he said. "That was a very warm reception and I'm sure Watson would have appreciated the applause. Except for one thing: Watson can neither hear nor see. It will be receiving all of its information electronically.
"And as a matter of fact what you're looking at right now is not the real Watson. This is an avatar. This is a representation of Watson. Watson, or course, is a sophisticated computer system too big and too heavy to fit behind that lectern on our stage."
As for the stage version of Watson, his brain-face was represented by a digital Earth that swirled with ribbons of various colors while he thought about questions. As Trebek read the clues, a bar graph appeared at the bottom of the screen, showing the top three answers Watson was considering at that moment and how confident he was in those choices.
Sometimes the computer managed to be confident but still incorrect.
Here's the clue to the first question Watson got wrong:
"From the Latin for end, this is where trains can also originate."
Watson: "What is finis." Confidence level: 97%.
Trebek: "No. Ken?"
"What is terminus," Jennings answered correctly.
Before ending the evening tied with Rutter at $5,000 each, Watson had jumped out to an early lead at the first commercial break. At that point, Watson had $5,200 and his closest noncomputer counterpart had only $1,000.
Several Twitter users were awed by the computer's smarts.
"Watson kinda feakin' me out. Big time," Michael Gartenberg, a tech analyst, wrote on his Twitter feed.
Another person wrote: "Watson is almost scary. This is willld! These humans are no match for Watson's algorithms."
Trebek summed up the computer's mixed performance this way:
"So, what have we learned so far: Watson's very bright, very fast, but he had some weird little moments once in a while."
Then he teased the upcoming shows:
"And how many of those will we encounter tomorrow when we play double and final 'Jeopardy!'?"


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 Assunto da Mensagem: Re: Computador da IBM participa no Jeopardy
MensagemEnviado: 17 fev 2011, 00:44 
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Watson extermina humanos no 2º round. Ler abaixo.

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After an unimpressive debut on Monday, Watson, the IBM Jeopardy-playing computer, crushed its carbon lifeform opponents last night.

The game started with Monday's score: Brad Rutter tied with Watson for first with $5000, and Ken Jennings last with $2000.

Ken was first to pick a category, but after host Alex Trebek read the clue, Watson buzzed faster. From then on, the computer just kept on going, buzzing and answering correctly seven times in a row, amassing $21,035. Ken and Brad stood there, hopeless. The IBMers in the audience grinned and clapped.

Clearly, Watson didn't quite understand the clue, which called for an art
period, not an artist, as answer. Curiously, the computer had the correct answer listed among its choices, but with a low probability. The humans had no problem understanding the question -- but they got the art period wrong.

Watson's confusion didn't last, though. Soon, the machine was again dominating the game, this time getting six straight correct answers and expanding its lead. Ken and Brad would occasionally get an answer right, but it was a Watson show.

The highlight of the night came at the end, during the Final Jeopardy round, when contestants can wager a certain amount (up to their total score) and then they see the final clue. The category was "U.S. cities," and Watson had $36,681, Rutter $5400, and Jennings $2400. Watch:

Toronto????? Ooohhh. You can hear the IBMers gasping, terrified that this humiliating mistake is going to cost Watson everything. But nope. The smarty-pants (or smarty-racks) machine didn't go all in, its wagering-strategy algorithm deciding to bet just $947. (Here's how IBM explains the flub.)

So the night ended with Jennings with $4800, Brad with $10,400, and Watson with $35,734. The LCD-faced machine, with its HAL 9000 voice, vastly outperformed the best brains at this game. A massacre.

Which brings me to my second question: What is Watson good for other than playing Jeopardy? Will it help advance AI for real or is this just an entertaining challenge, much like the Deep Blue vs. Kasparov matches?

IBM, wise about this PR opportunity, made sure to include a video segment in which its execs and scientists brag about Watson's potential "to transform many industries." Their comments, however, were vague -- things like "Life is about questions and answers," or "This changes the paradigm in which we work with computers" -- and the most concrete example they gave was using Watson to help clinicians diagnose a hard case involving lots of data.

The whole thing looks like a giant commercial for IBM, but hey, I'm not complaining; I was very entertained and feel like I want to learn more about how Watson works. And I'm looking forward to tonight's round. Do Watson's mistakes mean there's hope for Ken and Brad? What do you think will happen tonight?


Lido na revista Spectrum


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